منابع مشابه
Climate change: a creeping catastrophe.
Q: People often blame unseasonal weather on climate change. Could you please explain the difference between weather and climate? A: Weather is what we see hourto-hour and day-to-day, and weather forecasts can tell us if it will rain, say, tomorrow afternoon, but because the weather is innately chaotic, forecasts for longer than 10 days are extremely poor. Climate is different. It is an average ...
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Despite overwhelming scientific evidence for man-made climate change, many people and more importantly policymakers still remain skeptical about the subject. While this phenomenon of ”climate-skepticism” prevents implementation of environmental policies around the globe, it is ignored in economic models of climate change. In this paper we fill this gap by creating a model that allows for climat...
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It is now widely accepted that global climate change is affecting many ecosystems around the globe and that its impact is increasing rapidly. Many studies predict that impacts will consist largely of shifts in latitudinal and altitudinal distributions. However, we demonstrate that the impacts of global climate change in the tropical rainforests of northeastern Australia have the potential to re...
متن کاملCatastrophe Archetypes
We propose an Integrated Systemic Theory of Catastrophes (ISTC) using System Dynamics to model and to understand common systemic structures and behaviours of catastrophes. Current catastrophe research concentrates on a specific field and does not capture complex multi-field catastrophe scenarios that cannot be reduced to a single scientific field. For example, when looking at famines the elemen...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature Climate Change
سال: 2007
ISSN: 1758-678X,1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/climate.2007.39